Tuesday, January 12, 2021

How I Feel About Covid in January 2021

While idly browsing the Huff Post online today, I noticed a story about supermarkets such as Tesco intending to strengthen their approach to customers who refuse to wear masks inside their stores. Several supermarket employees were interviewed and reported facing verbal abuse from those they challenged for this behaviour. Many customers apparently claim to be 'exempt' from the rules about mask-wearing on medical grounds but fail or refuse to provide any evidence of this. The feeling of many such staff members seemed to be that, as managers were generally saying there was nothing they could do to enforce mask-wearing, it was pointless to even challenge such people. However, given the perceived level of non-compliance, supermarkets are now about to up their game, with police 'on standby' to help in extreme cases.

At the end of this article, there was a live poll asking whether people agreed that supermarkets needed to get more proactive and tougher on non-mask-wearers. 92% of those who responded (583 people) said that, yes, they should.  Obviously, readers of the Huff Post are, like any group, self-selecting and likely to share a similar outlook and similar beliefs. But nevertheless, a very large majority of this admittedly small sample of people were in favour of more stringent enforcement of Covid regulations. This straw poll suggests that, far from being overrun by Covid-deniers, Conspiracy Theorists and anti-vaxxers, we are a nation which, on the whole, supports the government's attempts to manage this crisis - in fact, most people would prefer more strict regulations, rather than more lax ones.

This chimed with a news report I heard earlier on Radio Four. Again, Radio Four has a particular demographic - older listeners, generally well-educated and middle-class, often professionals or retired professionals - and doesn't represent the whole population. Also, I am sure that many of the 'Covid Protestors' who are claiming we live in a 'police state', that Boris is a 'dictator', and that our 'civil liberties/rights' are being eroded, see the BBC in general as being the feared and despised 'Mainstream Media', peddling government propaganda and lies for some nefarious purpose known only to them. I personally find this idea laughable, and not only because Boris himself is determined to dismantle the BBC, and the BBC is also frequently accused of being too left wing (when it isn't being accused of being too right wing). Recent complaints about the BBC's support for the BLM campaign (in the Christmas Vicar of Dibley episodes and on Strictly Come Dancing) suggest it's reputation for being famously impartial - something that others complain about in itself - is being perceived as under threat.  I have watched, read and listened to many news reports from a wide spectrum of news agencies and different platforms over the past few months, and I still consider the BBC, despite its faults, to be one of the most objective, serious-minded, intelligent, non-sensationalist and sensible news-providers. So I am happy to believe the news stories I heard on Radio Four today, in which various genuine experts (no David Ickes, hysterical ex-BBC-employees, or chiropractors calling themselves 'scientists') discussed various aspects of the current state of play with regard to Covid in this country.

One thing they discussed was non-compliance with lockdown regulations. There is a perception at the moment that a large swathe of people in this country are deliberately failing to take such regulations seriously. However, a group of researchers who have carried out a study into compliance since the beginning of the first lockdown, have concluded that actually compliance appears to be greater now than at the beginning of the pandemic. Young people, though they are more likely than older people to break rules about the size of gatherings, are much more likely to get themselves tested for Covid and comply with self-isolation rules. It is wrong to demonise them, as some people are doing. Generally, there seems to be a very high level of compliance with the regulations from the population as a whole. People are angry about those who refuse to comply and see them as endangering others. Take the issue of mask-wearing, for instance. Wearing a mask is uncomfortable, a little claustrophobic at first, and inconvenient, but the evidence strongly suggests, despite a few studies which contradict this view, that wearing a mask protects both the individual wearing it and other people, to some extent. No one is saying it stops you getting Covid, but it seems to many people that if it can help to prevent you catching the virus or spreading it to others, then it is in fact only a small inconvenience. If there is a chance that wearing a mask might help to slow down the spread of the virus, most people seem prepared to do the grown-up thing and get on with it. And many see those who refuse to wear masks as being childish, selfish and stupid.

The Radio Four news programme also discussed the latest figures from the Office of National Statistics (an organisation that is generally considered to be one of the most accurate and well-respected agencies for providing statistical data) about the death-rate in this country in 2020. It was much higher in 2020 than in the previous five year period. The news programme did not give in to hysterical headlines such as 'Death rates higher than at any time since the Second World War' - Statistician Ben Humberstone (apologies if I've spelled his name wrong) explained calmly and sensibly, without being patronising, that it is difficult to compare death-rates in 2020 with those from seventy-plus years ago as so much has changed since then in terms of medical advances, social and cultural factors, size of population, etc. Incidentally, the fact that death-rates have been steadily decreasing for the past few decades suggests that the very 'science' which is so often derided by Conspiracy Theorists has in fact contributed greatly towards improving and extending human lives in this country - not only in terms of new medical breakthroughs and treatments for life-threatening diseases, but in our understanding of the lifestyle causes of some illnesses and improvements in housing, school buildings, general infrastructure, attitudes towards mental health issues, methods of communication, improved safety in vehicle design, better understanding of Health and Safety, etc.

The point is that in 2020 there was a massive spike in the death-rate in this country, and this in a year when deaths from flu have been substantially lower than usual. These 'extra' deaths are mostly accounted for, either directly or indirectly, by the corona virus. Yes, some of these deaths will be as a result of failures in the diagnosis or treatment of other unrelated illnesses, but that is an indirect result of the Covid pandemic. What are NHS staff supposed to do when faced with an immediate case of a person desperately ill from the virus or a person who might have a symptom of cancer but might not? We can't just leave the people with Covid to die while we deal with other things. And in reality most hospitals are doing both, treating everyone, sometimes in horrendously difficult situations. The idea that has been bandied about that it is a 'myth' that hospitals are full to capacity, and the photographs of empty hospital corridors that have been posted online, etc, are utter rubbish. I have friends who themselves work in the NHS or whose children or other relatives do so, in various capacities, including one consultant, several in London and some in Yorkshire, and they are reporting wards which are reaching breaking point, particularly in the south.  Why would they lie?

And there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that deaths from Covid are real, numerous and a reasonable cause for great concern.  Those people who claim that Covid is a 'hoax' are misguided. During lockdowns, it is easy to start believing that the whole thing is overblown. In 2020, I knew of one elderly person with underlying health issues who had died from Covid, and two people in their fifties who had been hospitalised for several weeks with it but who both recovered eventually. In addition, I knew of several people who had had the disease but recovered and reported it was like a bad dose of flu, and several more who tested positive but had few or no symptoms. Based on that, it was easy to start thinking this virus was no big deal and the government were reacting like a bunch of wimps - or, if you had read too much Dan Brown, were enacting some sort of long con in order to, what? Control the population? Destroy the economy? Duh!  However, since then, I have heard of a number of tragic cases of people who have lost partners or friends to the disease, people who have died very quickly, within days of being diagnosed, and people who have been extremely ill with the disease. A recent article in The Guardian (hardly mainstream media as it is one of the few national newspapers in this country with a left wing bias and is certainly no supporter of Johnson and his pals) presented a snapshot of covid wards in hospitals in London which was horrifying. Again, I was impressed by the lack of hysteria in this reporting, the discussion of different views, the analysis of expert opinion and the balanced reporting. 

All of the above is simply and wholly my own opinion. I am not an expert. I know that people are sick of lockdowns and restrictions. I know that some people have become extremely anxious and their lives have been ruined by this pandemic (I have one particular friend who seems to be having a complete mental breakdown as a result), and that others are coping by dismissing the seriousness of the situation, suggesting we are all over-reacting and sneering at us for following expert advice to wear masks, self-isolate and socially distance. I believe these people are wrong. They might be right and people like me might all be sheep, but my attitude is that, if there is any chance of containing this pandemic, we need to work together to do it. 

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